Fire Island (FI) and NYC Weather

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FI and NYC Weather was started by Mitchel Volk (M.S. Meteorology) to provide visitors to and residents of FI and NYC with accurate and reliable weather forecasts to inform their plans for the coming week.
Links to my past media coverage:
Gothamist
https://gothamist.com/news/nycs-secret-winter-weapon-is-named-mitch
WNEW 5
https://www.fox5ny.com/news/nyc-sanitation-departments-weather-weapon
🌤️ Weather Forecast – March 6, 2026 (11am)
📍 NYC & Fire Island
Today will stay raw overall with periodic drizzle, and Saturday will remain cool.
By Sunday it may feel downright spring-like in NYC. In fact, next Monday could push into the 70s in the city. Fire Island will remain cooler until we get a strong enough northwest gradient and land breeze to keep the cold ocean air offshore.
Winds turn southwest on Tuesday, bringing summer-like warmth to NYC or areas just south and west — it’s going to be a close call — while Fire Island stays much cooler due to the cold ocean temperatures. Colder air briefly returns Thursday behind the next frontal system.
Rainfall Report:
Central Park – 1.54”
Islip – 1.77”
Cherry Grove – 1.63”
⸻
🌪️ Snow Chances (NYC & Fire Island – Next 7 Days)
• ❄️ Flurries or light snow — None
• 🌨️ 1–4” — None
• 🌨️ 4–8” — None
• 🌨️ 8”+ — None
⸻
🌊 Water Temperatures
• 🌊 Atlantic Ocean: 38°F
• 🌅 Great South Bay: 36°F
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🔗 Tides
• NOAA Tide Predictions – Cherry Grove (Ocean)
• Great South Bay – Sayville (Brown Creek)
https://www.tide-forecast.com/locations/Sayville-Brown-Creek-Long-Island-New-York/tides/latest
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📅 Detailed Forecast
Friday • March 6
• ☁️ Cloudy with drizzle at times
• 🌬️ NE 5–15 mph
• 🌡️ Upper 30s to around 40
• 🔒 Confidence: High
⸻
Tonight
• ☁️ Periods of drizzle
• 🌬️ NE 5–10 mph
• 🌡️ Mid 30s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
⸻
Saturday • March 7
• 🌫️ Fog and drizzle early, then partly sunny in NYC
• 🌫️ Fog and drizzle lingering longer on Fire Island
• 🌬️ S 5–10 mph
• 🌡️ Mid to upper 40s NYC / Low 40s FI
• 🔒 Confidence: High
⸻
Sunday • March 8
• ☀️ Becoming mainly sunny NYC, lingering clouds FI
• 🌬️ SW 10–25 mph
• 🌡️ Upper 60s to low 70s NYC / Mid 50s FI
• 🔒 Confidence: High
⸻
Monday • March 9
• 🌥️ Sun and clouds
• 🌬️ SW 5–15 mph
• 🌡️ Mid 60s NYC / Low 50s FI
• 🔒 Confidence: High NYC / Medium FI
⸻
Tuesday • March 10
• 🌥️ Sun and clouds
• 🌬️ SW 5–10 mph becoming S 10–25 mph
• 🌡️ Mid 60s NYC / Upper 40s FI
• 🔒 Confidence: High
⸻
Wednesday • March 11
• 🌤️ Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ SW 15–30 mph NYC / 15–40 mph FI
• 🌡️ Low 80s NYC and inland / Upper 50s FI
• 🔒 Confidence: Low
⸻
Thursday • March 12
• 🌧️ Sun and clouds, showers ending
• 🌬️ NW 5–15 mph
• 🌡️ Upper 60s falling into the upper 50s by day’s end
• 🔒 Confidence: Low
⸻
Friday • March 13
• ☁️ Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ NW 15–30 mph
• 🌡️ Mid 40s
• 🔒 Confidence: Low
⸻
Mitchel Volk, MS – Meteorologist, MBA
🌤️ FI NYC Weather
🌀 “We’ve got your weather — coming and going.”


The Sayville Ferry began the Fire Island run in 1894. For over one hundred years, Fire Island - with its wide ocean beaches, natural forests, wetlands and lively downtowns - has been an attraction for people from all over the world. Fire Island's central communities of Cherry Grove, Fire Island Pines, Water Island and Sailors Haven/Sunken Forest, a Fire Island National Seashore Park, are served by the Sayville Ferry, which is located on River Road in the South Shore hamlet of Sayville. Once on the island, the only means of transport is a hand-pulled wagon and the only rubber you burn is the soles of your shoes.
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