Fire Island (FI) and NYC Weather

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FI and NYC Weather was started by Mitchel Volk (M.S. Meteorology) to provide visitors to and residents of FI and NYC with accurate and reliable weather forecasts to inform their plans for the coming week.
Links to my past media coverage:
Gothamist
https://gothamist.com/news/nycs-secret-winter-weapon-is-named-mitch
WNEW 5
https://www.fox5ny.com/news/nyc-sanitation-departments-weather-weapon
🌤️ Weather Forecast – November 14, 2025 (11AM)
Today will feature sun and clouds. The weekend will stay mainly dry during the day, with temperatures remaining a bit below normal and breezy. The only chance for rain will be Saturday evening and night, ending before sunrise Sunday.
Next week looks to be seasonal and mainly dry. No major storms are in sight.
⸻
📊 Winter Outlook
• 🌡️ Above Normal Temperatures
• 💧 Below Normal Rainfall
• ❄️ Below Normal Snowfall locally — Above Normal Snowfall expected across northern New England
⸻
🌪️ Snow Chances
• ❄️ Flurries — None
• 🌨️ T–4” — None
• 🌨️ 4–8” — None
• 🌨️ 8”+ — None
⸻
🌊 Water Temperatures
• 🌊 Atlantic Ocean: 57 °F
• 🌅 Great South Bay: 57 °F
🔗 NOAA Tide Predictions – Cherry Grove (Ocean):
🔗 Great South Bay – Sayville Brown Creek Tides:
👉 https://www.tide-forecast.com/locations/Sayville-Brown-Creek-Long-Island-New-York/tides/latest
⸻
📅 Detailed Forecast
Friday • Nov 14
• ⛅ Sun and clouds
• 🌬️ NW 15–30 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Low 50s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
Tonight • Nov 14 Night
• 🌙 Increasing clouds by morning
• 🌬️ NW 15–30 mph
• 🌡️ Lows: Upper 30s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
Saturday • Nov 15
• ⛅ Increasing clouds; showers by sunset
• 🌬️ Light shifting winds 5–15 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Upper 40s to low 50s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
Sunday • Nov 16
• ⛅ Clearing skies
• 🌬️ NW 15–35 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Mid 50s, then falling into the 40s by evening
• 🔒 Confidence: High
Monday • Nov 17
• ⛅ Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ NW 15–35 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Mid 40s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
Tuesday • Nov 18
• ⛅ Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ NW 15–30 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Upper 40s
• 🔒 Confidence: Medium
Wednesday • Nov 19
• ☀️ Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ W 10–25 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Upper 40s
• 🔒 Confidence: Low
Thursday • Nov 20
• 🌤️ Sun and clouds
• 🌬️ NE 10–25 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Low 50s
• 🔒 Confidence: Low
Friday • Nov 21
• ⛅ Chance of showers
• 🌬️ SE 10–25 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Upper 50s (NYC), low 50s (FI)
• 🔒 Confidence: Low
⸻
Mitchell Volk, MS – Meteorologist


The Sayville Ferry began the Fire Island run in 1894. For over one hundred years, Fire Island - with its wide ocean beaches, natural forests, wetlands and lively downtowns - has been an attraction for people from all over the world. Fire Island's central communities of Cherry Grove, Fire Island Pines, Water Island and Sailors Haven/Sunken Forest, a Fire Island National Seashore Park, are served by the Sayville Ferry, which is located on River Road in the South Shore hamlet of Sayville. Once on the island, the only means of transport is a hand-pulled wagon and the only rubber you burn is the soles of your shoes.
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