Fire Island (FI) and NYC Weather

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FI and NYC Weather was started by Mitchel Volk (M.S. Meteorology) to provide visitors to and residents of FI and NYC with accurate and reliable weather forecasts to inform their plans for the coming week.
Links to my past media coverage:
Gothamist
https://gothamist.com/news/nycs-secret-winter-weapon-is-named-mitch
WNEW 5
https://www.fox5ny.com/news/nyc-sanitation-departments-weather-weapon
🌤️ Weather Forecast – October 17, 2025 (Noon)
Today will be sunny and breezy, with a crisp fall feel.
The weekend looks beautiful, featuring abundant sunshine and seasonable temperatures.
Heavy rain will arrive early Monday and end around noon, followed by improving conditions.
Tuesday looks pleasant, with showers possible Wednesday, then another stretch of sunny, fall-like weather to close out the week.
⸻
📊 Winter Outlook
• 🌡️ Above Normal Temperatures
• 💧 Below Normal Rainfall
• ❄️ Below Normal Snowfall locally; above normal snowfall expected in northern New England
⸻
🌪️ Hurricane Watch
Two potential systems are forming in the Atlantic, but neither poses any threat to our region at this time.
🔗 NOAA Tropical Update:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
⸻
🌊 Water Temperatures
• 🌊 Atlantic Ocean: 66 °F
• 🌅 Great South Bay: 66 °F
🔗 NOAA Tide Predictions – Cherry Grove (Ocean):
🔗 Great South Bay – Sayville Brown Creek Tides:
https://www.tide-forecast.com/locations/Sayville-Brown-Creek-Long-Island-New-York/tides/latest
⸻
📅 Detailed Forecast
Friday • October 17
• Mainly sunny
• 🌡️ Highs: Low 60s
• 🌬️ NW 10–25 mph
• 💧 Dew Points: Upper 30s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
⸻
Tonight 🌙
• Mainly clear
• 🌡️ Lows: Upper 40s
• 🌬️ NW 5–15 mph
• 💧 Dew Points: Low 30s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
⸻
Saturday • October 18 ☀️
• Partly sunny
• 🌡️ Highs: Mid 60s
• 🌬️ SW 5–15 mph
• 💧 Dew Points: Low 40s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
⸻
Sunday • October 19
• Sun and clouds, turning milder
• 🌡️ Highs: Upper 60s to low 70s
• 🌬️ SW 10–25 mph (NYC 15–30 mph)
• 💧 Dew Points: Mid 50s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
⸻
Monday • October 20 ⚠️
• Showers and thunderstorms possible — rain may be heavy early
• 🌡️ Highs: Upper 60s
• 🌬️ Winds shifting 10–30 mph (NYC 15–40 mph, FI stronger gusts)
• 💧 Dew Points: Low 60s
• 🔒 Confidence: High
⸻
Tuesday • October 21
• Mainly sunny
• 🌬️ W 10–25 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Low 60s
• 💧 Dew Points: Mid 40s
• 🔒 Confidence: Medium
⸻
Wednesday • October 22
• Sun and clouds with a chance of early showers
• 🌬️ W 10–25 mph
• 🌡️ Highs: Low–mid 60s
• 💧 Dew Points: Upper 40s
• 🔒 Confidence: Low
⸻
Thursday • October 23
• Mainly sunny
• 🌡️ Highs: Low 60s
• 🌬️ NW 15–30 mph
• 💧 Dew Points: Mid 40s
• 🔒 Confidence: Low
⸻
Friday • October 24
• Sun and clouds
• 🌡️ Highs: Upper 50s
• 🌬️ W 10–25 mph
• 💧 Dew Points: Mid 40s
• 🔒 Confidence: Low
The Sayville Ferry began the Fire Island run in 1894. For over one hundred years, Fire Island - with its wide ocean beaches, natural forests, wetlands and lively downtowns - has been an attraction for people from all over the world. Fire Island's central communities of Cherry Grove, Fire Island Pines, Water Island and Sailors Haven/Sunken Forest, a Fire Island National Seashore Park, are served by the Sayville Ferry, which is located on River Road in the South Shore hamlet of Sayville. Once on the island, the only means of transport is a hand-pulled wagon and the only rubber you burn is the soles of your shoes.
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