Fire Island (FI) and NYC Weather

🌤️ Weather Forecast – March 3, 2026 (1 PM)

📍 NYC & Fire Island

Today, any frozen precipitation has changed to rain. After this system exits, major snowmelt will begin as slightly warmer air moves in. Periods of fog — a classic late-season snow eater — will accelerate the melting process.

A good part of the week will stay raw overall with periodic showers. However, the warmer air may struggle to fully establish itself along the coast due to backdoor fronts and persistent sea breezes reinforced by 36° ocean water.

By the weekend, it may feel downright spring-like in NYC. In fact, next Monday could push into the 70s in the city. Fire Island will remain cooler until we get a strong enough NW gradient and land breeze to keep the cold ocean air offshore.

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🌪️ Snow Chances (NYC & Fire Island – Next 7 Days)

• ❄️ Flurries or light snow — None

• 🌨️ 1–4” — None

• 🌨️ 4–8” — None

• 🌨️ 8”+ — None

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🌊 Water Temperatures

• 🌊 Atlantic Ocean: 36°F

• 🌅 Great South Bay: 35°F

Cold waters will continue reinforcing coastal cooling next week.

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🔗 Tides

• NOAA Tide Predictions – Cherry Grove (Ocean)

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions.html?id=8515228&units=standard&bdate=20260303&edate=20260304&timezone=LST/LDT&clock=12hour&datum=MLLW&interval=hilo&action=dailychart

• Great South Bay – Sayville (Brown Creek)

https://www.tide-forecast.com/locations/Sayville-Brown-Creek-Long-Island-New-York/tides/latest

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📅 Detailed Forecast

Tuesday • March 3

• 🌧️ Cold and raw with periods of rain

• 🌬️ E 5–15 mph

• 🌡️ Mid 30s

• 🔒 Confidence: High

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Tonight

• 🌧️ Periods of rain

• 🌬️ E 5–10 mph

• 🌡️ Mid 30s

• 🔒 Confidence: High

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Wednesday • March 4

• 🌧️ Scattered showers ending early, then mainly cloudy

• 🌧️ Rainfall: 0.25–0.50”

• 🌬️ E 5–15 mph

• 🌡️ Upper 30s

• 🔒 Confidence: Medium

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Thursday • March 5

• ⛅ Scattered showers and drizzle

• 🌬️ Variable 5–15 mph

• 🌡️ Upper 30s

• 🔒 Confidence: High

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Friday • March 6

• ⛅ Cloudy with a chance of showers

• 🌬️ NE 5–15 mph

• 🌡️ Upper 30s

• 🔒 Confidence: High

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Saturday • March 7

• 🌫️ Fog and drizzle early, then partly sunny NYC

• 🌫️ Fog and drizzle lingering longer on FI

• 🌬️ Light & variable

• 🌡️ Mid 50s NYC / Mid 40s FI

• 🔒 Confidence: Medium

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Sunday • March 8

• ☀️ Mainly sunny

• 🌬️ SW 10–25 mph

• 🌡️ Mid to upper 60s NYC / Upper 40s FI

• 🔒 Confidence: Medium

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Monday • March 9

• 🌥️ Sun and clouds

• 🌬️ Becoming NW 10–25 mph

• 🌡️ Low 70s NYC / Mid 60s FI

• 🔒 Confidence: Low

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Tuesday • March 10

• 🌥️ Sun and clouds

• 🌬️ NW 10–25 mph

• 🌡️ Low 70s NYC / Mid 60s FI

• 🔒 Confidence: Low

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Mitchel Volk, MS – Meteorologist, MBA

🌤️ FI NYC Weather

🌀 “We’ve got your weather — coming and going.”